How I won the Grand National
After a pretty miserable record in this race with only 2 previous winners (Little Polveir 28/1 in 1989 and
Papillon 10/1 in 2000), I came up trumps big time with the 100/1 outsider Mon Mome this year. And unlike
the last 100/1 winner, Foinavon, Mon Mome's success had nothing to do with a mass pile up or freak weather conditions.
It simply appeared to be the best and freshest horse on the day. So just in case I am actually onto a system,
here's how I picked it.
- Find a search engine that can filter information about the horses. I used
this one.
- Step 1. Rule out any horse carrying more than 11 stone. Only 1 of the last 11 horses to win the
National (I think) has carried over 11 stone. Fortunately for me, Mon Mome was carrying 11 stone exactly.
- Step 2. Rule out any horse that has never won over 3 miles or further. If a horse cannot win over 3
miles, there's no way it is going to win over 4 1/2.
- Step 3. Rule out horses that are bad jumpers. I excluded any horse that had fallen more than
twice in it's career.
- Step 4. By this stage I was down to 3 horses. One of these had never run in the Grand National before so
I excluded it on that basis.
This left just two horses, Mon Mome and L'Ami. So I backed them both in proportion to their anticipated staring
prices. L'Ami was listed as 22/1, Mon Mome at 66/1. Fortunately Mon Mome drifted and I won 50% more than I
was originally expecting.
For the record, L'Ami got round to the final fence (number 30) before pulling up. It clearly can stay and jump
and will be a serious contender in 2010 - as long as it is carrying 11 stone or less.